De Graafschap vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: De Graafschap v Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Vijverberg. In the table, De Graafschap are 1st, leading the league, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
De Graafschap, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NAC Breda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Den Bosch, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Helmond Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Den Bosch, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for De Graafschap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 2.1 xG, Den Bosch 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 46%, draw 20%, Den Bosch 35%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.29.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 2–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Den Bosch35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.15De Graafschap xG
1.85Den Bosch xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.1 – 1.9 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✓
46%
2.18
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.40
1.29
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
De Graafschap – last 6
LWLLLL
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Heracles
0–5
L
29 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 6
WLLLWL
18 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
21 Aug
vs FC Eindhoven
5–2
W
14 Aug
@ Heracles
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Den Bosch 35%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
