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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jong Utrecht v Jong Ajax: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
6–1
FT
Jong Utrecht 40%Draw 20%Jong Ajax 40% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.89
71%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Jong Ajax to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJong Utrecht to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.99

Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jong Ajax travel to face Jong Utrecht on Monday 14 September in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Utrecht are 20th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jong Utrecht, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over NAC Breda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Jong Ajax, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Waalwijk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Jong Ajax, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Jong Utrecht.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Jong Ajax 0–2 Jong Utrecht.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jong Utrecht 1.9 xG, Jong Ajax 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Utrecht 40%, draw 20%, Jong Ajax 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Jong Ajax to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Utrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jong Utrecht40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.70
Jong Ajax40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
3.79Expected goals
1.90Jong Utrecht xG
1.89Jong Ajax xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 1.9 – 1.9 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJong Utrecht to win ✓40%2.492.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.401.40
Draw no betJong Utrecht (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapJong Ajax +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
First team to scoreJong Utrecht to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗34%2.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jong Utrecht / FT Jong Utrecht ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.99–

Recent results

Jong Utrecht – last 6

WDLLLL
11 Sep@ NAC Breda3–2W
7 Sepvs FC Eindhoven0–0D
31 Aug@ Jong AZ1–2L
28 Aug@ FC OSS1–2L
24 Augvs Heracles1–6L
17 Augvs Vitesse1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Jong Ajax – last 6

LWDWLL
11 Sepvs Waalwijk0–2L
4 Sep@ Almere City FC1–0W
31 Aug@ Jong PSV U211–1D
28 Augvs Helmond Sport3–2W
22 Aug@ NAC Breda2–3L
17 Augvs Emmen4–6L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Jong Ajax v Jong Utrecht0–2
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?

On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Ajax 40%.

How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.