Helmond Sport 14%Draw 19%Heracles 67%Expected goals 1.24 – 2.70
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeracles to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceHeracles or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Helmond Sport vs Heracles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport welcome Heracles to Lavans Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 2 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Heracles are 16th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to MVV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Heracles, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vitesse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Heracles, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.2 xG, Heracles 2.7 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 14%, draw 19%, Heracles 67%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–2 Heracles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport14%fair 7.14 · @6.50
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.80
Heracles67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
3.94Expected goals
1.24Helmond Sport xG
2.70Heracles xG
65%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–25%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.2 – 2.7 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Heracles -1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Heracles to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Helmond Sport – last 6
LLWWLD
26 Sep
@ MVV
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Jong Ajax
2–3
L
21 Aug
vs Waalwijk
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Heracles – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Sep
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and Heracles.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Heracles 67%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–2 Heracles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Helmond Sport vs Heracles (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lavans Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
