Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Emmen vs Almere City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Eerste Divisie brings Emmen against Almere City FC at De Oude Meerdijk. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Almere City FC are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dordrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Almere City FC, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Eindhoven, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Emmen 4–0 Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 1.7 xG, Almere City FC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 38%, draw 21%, Almere City FC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 1–1 Almere City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Almere City FC41%fair 2.47 · @2.90
3.45Expected goals
1.70Emmen xG
1.75Almere City FC xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.7 – 1.8 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Emmen vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Emmen have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almere City FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Emmen vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
