Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong Ajax welcome De Graafschap to Sportpark De Toekomst for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Monday 19 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to VVV Venlo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
De Graafschap, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong Utrecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours De Graafschap, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.7 xG, De Graafschap 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 35%, draw 18%, De Graafschap 47%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
De Graafschap47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
3.70Expected goals
1.70Jong Ajax xG
2.00De Graafschap xG
71%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.7 – 2.0 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
47%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 6
LDLLWD
9 Oct
vs VVV Venlo
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Roda
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Waalwijk
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
WDWLWL
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Heracles
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 18% and De Graafschap 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
