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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MVV v VVV Venlo: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De Geusselt

MVV

LDLLL
1–2
FT
MVV 33%Draw 21%VVV Venlo 46% Expected goals 1.84 – 2.20
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultVVV Venlo to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.76

MVV vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: MVV v VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Geusselt. In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

MVV, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Excelsior, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

VVV Venlo, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vitesse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours VVV Venlo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for MVV.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended MVV 2–1 VVV Venlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.8 xG, VVV Venlo 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 33%, draw 21%, VVV Venlo 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MVV33%fair 3.06 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
VVV Venlo46%fair 2.15 · @2.00
4.04Expected goals
1.84MVV xG
2.20VVV Venlo xG
68%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: MVV 1.8 – 2.2 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVVV Venlo to win ✓46%2.152.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.461.40
Draw no betVVV Venlo (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapMVV +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
First team to scoreVVV Venlo to score first ✓54%1.87–
Half-time resultVVV Venlo ahead at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo ✓29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.76–

Recent results

MVV – last 6

LDLLLW
28 Octvs Excelsior0–3L
23 Oct@ Den Bosch2–2D
18 Octvs Heracles1–5L
9 Oct@ NAC Breda0–1L
3 Oct@ FC OSS1–4L
26 Sepvs Helmond Sport2–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

VVV Venlo – last 6

LWDWWL
28 Octvs Vitesse0–2L
24 Oct@ Dordrecht4–2W
16 Octvs Jong AZ4–4D
9 Oct@ Jong Ajax3–0W
4 Octvs Roda2–0W
26 Sep@ FC Volendam2–3L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026MVV v VVV Venlo2–1
MVV vs VVV Venlo head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MVV vs VVV Venlo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win MVV vs VVV Venlo?

On our numbers MVV have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VVV Venlo 46%.

How many goals will there be in MVV vs VVV Venlo?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MVV vs VVV Venlo?

Our predicted score is MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is MVV vs VVV Venlo?

MVV vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.