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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heracles v Roda: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Asito Stadium
5–1
FT

Roda

WWWWD
Heracles 64%Draw 22%Roda 14% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.99
64%
Betarazi pick

Heracles to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeracles to win ✓64% · @1.42
Double chanceHeracles or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Heracles vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Roda travel to face Heracles on Friday 6 November in the Eerste Divisie, with Asito Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Heracles are 16th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Heracles, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC OSS, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Roda, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong AZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.2 xG, Roda 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 64%, draw 22%, Roda 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Heracles to win (64%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–0 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heracles64%fair 1.57 · @1.42
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.75
Roda14%fair 7.05 · @6.50
3.22Expected goals
2.22Heracles xG
0.99Roda xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Heracles 2.2 – 1.0 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeracles to win ✓64%1.571.42
Double chanceHeracles or draw ✓86%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Draw no betHeracles (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapHeracles -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.731.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
First team to scoreHeracles to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultHeracles ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heracles / FT Heracles ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Heracles – last 6

WLDWWD
2 Novvs FC OSS2–0W
29 Oct@ De Treffers0–1L
23 Oct@ NAC Breda1–1D
18 Oct@ MVV5–1W
9 Octvs Waalwijk3–0W
2 Oct@ Helmond Sport2–2D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Roda – last 6

WWWWDL
30 Octvs Jong AZ2–1W
27 Octvs De Graafschap1–0W
23 Oct@ Almere City FC3–2W
19 Oct@ Jong Utrecht2–1W
9 Octvs Jong PSV U211–1D
4 Oct@ VVV Venlo0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Roda.

Heracles vs Roda head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heracles vs Roda?

Our pick is Heracles to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Heracles vs Roda?

On our numbers Heracles have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roda 14%.

How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Roda?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Roda?

Our predicted score is Heracles 2–0 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Heracles vs Roda?

Heracles vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.