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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitesse v De Graafschap: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · GelreDome

Vitesse

DWLWL
Postponed
Vitesse 55%Draw 23%De Graafschap 22% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.15
78%
Betarazi pick

Vitesse or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.33

9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultVitesse to win55% · @1.95
Double chanceVitesse or draw78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.16

Vitesse vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:15 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Vitesse v De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie, played at GelreDome. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vitesse, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jong Ajax, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

De Graafschap, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Volendam, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended De Graafschap 1–4 Vitesse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.9 xG, De Graafschap 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 55%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vitesse or draw (78%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Vitesse to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Vitesse or draw (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitesse55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
De Graafschap22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
1.94Vitesse xG
1.15De Graafschap xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Vitesse 1.9 – 1.2 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitesse to win55%1.811.95 ▲
Double chanceVitesse or draw78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.44
Draw no betVitesse (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapDe Graafschap +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals60%1.651.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.651.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.281.22
First team to scoreVitesse to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultVitesse ahead at half-time41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitesse / FT Vitesse35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.16–

Recent results

Vitesse – last 6

DWLWLD
2 Nov@ Jong Ajax1–1D
28 Oct@ VVV Venlo2–0W
23 Octvs Emmen0–2L
16 Oct@ FC Eindhoven1–0W
9 Oct@ FC Volendam0–2L
3 Octvs NAC Breda2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

De Graafschap – last 6

WLDLWD
30 Oct@ FC Volendam2–1W
27 Oct@ Roda0–1L
23 Octvs Waalwijk1–1D
19 Oct@ Jong Ajax1–2L
9 Octvs Jong Utrecht2–1W
3 Oct@ FC Eindhoven2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026De Graafschap v Vitesse1–4
Vitesse vs De Graafschap head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Our pick is Vitesse or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

On our numbers Vitesse have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and De Graafschap 22%.

How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Vitesse vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.