MVV welcome Vitesse to De Geusselt for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Sunday 15 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Vitesse are 15th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emmen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Vitesse, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jong Ajax, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vitesse, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for MVV.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Vitesse 0–0 MVV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.3 xG, Vitesse 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 30%, draw 24%, Vitesse 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.51.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–1 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV30%fair 3.31 · @3.08
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.56
Vitesse46%fair 2.19 · @2.08
2.97Expected goals
1.30MVV xG
1.67Vitesse xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: MVV 1.3 – 1.7 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
MVV
Vitesse
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-19%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.59
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win MVV vs Vitesse?
On our numbers MVV have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitesse 46%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Vitesse?
MVV vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
