Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.16
Groningen vs Utrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Groningen welcome Utrecht to Euroborg for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 9 August (13:30 WAT). In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Utrecht are 14th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Groningen, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valladolid, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Utrecht, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sevilla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 1.9 xG, Utrecht 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 43%, draw 23%, Utrecht 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 1–1 Utrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen43%fair 2.33 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Utrecht34%fair 2.92 · @2.88
3.42Expected goals
1.90Groningen xG
1.52Utrecht xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Groningen 1.9 – 1.5 Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✓
43%
2.33
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Utrecht +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.13
First team to score
Groningen to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Groningen – last 6
WDLLWL
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Emmen
3–2
W
8 Jul
@ Heracles
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Utrecht – last 6
LLWLWW
2 Aug
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
21 May
vs Heerenveen
3–2
W
17 May
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Utrecht.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Groningen vs Utrecht?
On our numbers Groningen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Utrecht 34%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Utrecht?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Utrecht?
Our predicted score is Groningen 1–1 Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Utrecht?
Groningen vs Utrecht (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
