Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
Picks by market
ResultAjax to win ✓67% · @1.47
Double chanceAjax or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Eredivisie brings PEC Zwolle against Ajax at Mac3Park Stadion. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, PEC Zwolle are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Ajax are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PEC Zwolle, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hannover 96, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ajax, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Shelbourne, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ajax, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for PEC Zwolle.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PEC Zwolle 0.9 xG, Ajax 2.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 19%, Ajax 67%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ajax to win (67%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PEC Zwolle14%fair 7.28 · @5.90
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.50
Ajax67%fair 1.49 · @1.47
3.36Expected goals
0.94PEC Zwolle xG
2.43Ajax xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 0.9 – 2.4 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ajax to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ajax 67%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Mac3Park Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
