Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Sparta Rotterdam to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Eredivisie brings Excelsior against Sparta Rotterdam at Stadion Woudestein. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Excelsior are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Excelsior, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PSV Eindhoven, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Utrecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Excelsior, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sparta Rotterdam.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior 1.7 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior 39%, draw 20%, Sparta Rotterdam 41%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Sparta Rotterdam to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior39%fair 2.55 · @2.36
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Sparta Rotterdam41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
3.37Expected goals
1.67Excelsior xG
1.70Sparta Rotterdam xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Excelsior 1.7 – 1.7 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Rotterdam 41%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
