Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✓63% · @1.64
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Eredivisie brings PEC Zwolle against NEC Nijmegen. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, PEC Zwolle are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; NEC Nijmegen are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
PEC Zwolle, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Heerenveen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PEC Zwolle 1.1 xG, NEC Nijmegen 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 63%.
Lower-risk option: NEC Nijmegen or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NEC Nijmegen or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEC Zwolle 1–2 NEC Nijmegen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PEC Zwolle15%fair 6.64 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.30
NEC Nijmegen63%fair 1.60 · @1.64
3.29Expected goals
1.05PEC Zwolle xG
2.24NEC Nijmegen xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.1 – 2.2 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✓
63%
1.60
1.64
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Draw no bet
NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
First team to score
NEC Nijmegen to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
PEC Zwolle – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Heerenveen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Twente
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Ajax
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Hannover 96
0–3
L
26 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
LLWDLD
25 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Willem II
4–1
W
11 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Telstar
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 63%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–2 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
