Willem II 24%Draw 13%Heerenveen 63%Expected goals 1.22 – 2.18
63%
Betarazi pick
Heerenveen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeerenveen to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Willem II vs Heerenveen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Willem II v Heerenveen in the Eredivisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; Heerenveen are 6th (upper half) with 21. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to NEC Nijmegen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Heerenveen, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PEC Zwolle, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Heerenveen, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.2 xG, Heerenveen 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 24%, draw 13%, Heerenveen 63%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heerenveen to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II24%fair 4.11 · @3.70
Draw13%fair 7.66 · @4.00
Heerenveen63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.40Expected goals
1.22Willem II xG
2.18Heerenveen xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.2 – 2.2 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heerenveen to win✗
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Draw no bet
Heerenveen (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Willem II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Heerenveen to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Heerenveen ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
LLWWDL
15 Aug
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs KV Mechelen
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Quick Boys
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 6
LDWWDW
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Ajax
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Twente
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs OH Leuven
4–4
D
17 Jul
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Willem II vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers Willem II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Heerenveen 63%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
