Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAjax to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceAjax or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Telstar vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Eredivisie brings Telstar against Ajax at BUKO Stadion. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, Telstar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Ajax are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Telstar, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sparta Rotterdam, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Ajax, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over FC Sion, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Ajax, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Telstar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Telstar 1.0 xG, Ajax 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Telstar 14%, draw 23%, Ajax 63%.
Lower-risk option: Ajax or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ajax to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Telstar 1–2 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Telstar14%fair 7.00 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
Ajax63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
3.25Expected goals
1.02Telstar xG
2.23Ajax xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Telstar 1.0 – 2.2 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Double chance
Ajax or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Draw no bet
Ajax (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Ajax -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Ajax to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Ajax ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Telstar – last 6
LWLWLL
14 Aug
vs Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ De Graafschap
6–3
W
11 Jul
@ Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Almere City FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 6
WWDDWW
27 Aug
vs FC Sion
5–3
W
20 Aug
@ FC Sion
4–2
W
16 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
13 Aug
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ PEC Zwolle
2–0
W
6 Aug
vs Shelbourne
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Telstar and Ajax.
Our pick is Ajax to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Telstar vs Ajax?
On our numbers Telstar have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ajax 63%.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Telstar 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Telstar vs Ajax?
Telstar vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at BUKO Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
