Value bet: Fortuna Sittard to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ADO Den Haag welcome Fortuna Sittard to Bingoal Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 6 September (15:45 WAT). In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Fortuna Sittard are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
ADO Den Haag, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Feyenoord, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Groningen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortuna Sittard, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for ADO Den Haag.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADO Den Haag 1.8 xG, Fortuna Sittard 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADO Den Haag 37%, draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 43%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Fortuna Sittard to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Fortuna Sittard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADO Den Haag37%fair 2.73 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
Fortuna Sittard43%fair 2.30 · @3.00
3.75Expected goals
1.79ADO Den Haag xG
1.96Fortuna Sittard xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 1.8 – 2.0 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
43%
2.30
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
Fortuna Sittard (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
ADO Den Haag +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Fortuna Sittard to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Fortuna Sittard ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
ADO Den Haag – last 6
DLLLDW
30 Aug
@ Feyenoord
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Groningen
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WLWDWL
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fortuna Sittard 43%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
