Value bet: Fortuna Sittard to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.82
Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Willem II welcome Fortuna Sittard to Koning Willem II Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Saturday 19 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; Fortuna Sittard are 7th (upper half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Ajax, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Fortuna Sittard, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 2.0 xG, Fortuna Sittard 2.3 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 35%, draw 21%, Fortuna Sittard 44%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Fortuna Sittard to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–2 Fortuna Sittard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Fortuna Sittard44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
4.25Expected goals
2.00Willem II xG
2.25Fortuna Sittard xG
72%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–16%
2–16%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Willem II 2.0 – 2.3 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.44
Draw no bet
Fortuna Sittard (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Willem II +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
Fortuna Sittard to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Fortuna Sittard ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.82
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
LDLDLL
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
LWWLWD
12 Sep
vs Ajax
1–5
L
6 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Willem II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fortuna Sittard 44%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
