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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion Feijenoord
2–0
FT
Feyenoord 60%Draw 18%AZ Alkmaar 23% Expected goals 2.49 – 1.51
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFeyenoord to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AZ Alkmaar travel to face Feyenoord on Saturday 10 October in the Eredivisie, with Stadion Feijenoord the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Feyenoord are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Feyenoord, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Utrecht, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.

AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Telstar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Feyenoord 2.5 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Feyenoord 60%, draw 18%, AZ Alkmaar 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feyenoord 2–1 AZ Alkmaar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Feyenoord60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
AZ Alkmaar23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
4.00Expected goals
2.49Feyenoord xG
1.51AZ Alkmaar xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Feyenoord 2.5 – 1.5 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFeyenoord to win ✓60%1.681.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.44
Draw no betFeyenoord (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapAZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreFeyenoord to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultFeyenoord ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Feyenoord / FT Feyenoord ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.66–

Recent results

Feyenoord – last 6

WWLWDW
20 Sepvs Utrecht5–0W
13 Sep@ PEC Zwolle7–0W
9 Sep@ Barcelona1–5L
5 Sep@ NEC Nijmegen3–1W
30 Augvs ADO Den Haag2–2D
23 Aug@ Cambuur5–2W
3.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

AZ Alkmaar – last 6

WLDWWW
20 Sepvs Telstar1–0W
16 Sep@ Sunderland0–1L
11 Sepvs Willem II1–1D
6 Sep@ Heerenveen3–2W
29 Augvs GO Ahead Eagles5–2W
22 Aug@ Fortuna Sittard2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar.

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

On our numbers Feyenoord have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AZ Alkmaar 23%.

How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our predicted score is Feyenoord 2–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Feijenoord.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.