Utrecht 65%Draw 24%Willem II 11%Expected goals 2.96 – 1.40
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultUtrecht to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceUtrecht or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Utrecht vs Willem II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Eredivisie brings Utrecht against Willem II at Stadion Galgenwaard. Kick-off: 11:15 WAT. In the table, Utrecht are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Willem II are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Utrecht, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Feyenoord, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.
Willem II, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fortuna Sittard, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Utrecht, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utrecht 3.0 xG, Willem II 1.4 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utrecht 65%, draw 24%, Willem II 11%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utrecht 2–1 Willem II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utrecht65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.20
Willem II11%fair 8.79 · @5.50
4.36Expected goals
2.96Utrecht xG
1.40Willem II xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
4–16%
2–06%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: Utrecht 3.0 – 1.4 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Double chance
Utrecht or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.53
Draw no bet
Utrecht (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Utrecht -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Utrecht to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Utrecht ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Utrecht – last 6
LWDLDL
20 Sep
@ Feyenoord
0–5
L
13 Sep
@ Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
30 Aug
vs PSV Eindhoven
1–6
L
22 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
LLDLDL
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Willem II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Utrecht vs Willem II?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Willem II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Willem II?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 2–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs Willem II?
Utrecht vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
