NEC Nijmegen 63%Draw 23%Fortuna Sittard 13%Expected goals 2.40 – 1.10
87%
Betarazi pick
NEC Nijmegen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Eredivisie brings NEC Nijmegen against Fortuna Sittard at Goffertstadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Fortuna Sittard are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Levski Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Twente, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortuna Sittard, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for NEC Nijmegen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 2.4 xG, Fortuna Sittard 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 63%, draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 13%.
Lower-risk option: NEC Nijmegen or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NEC Nijmegen or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEC Nijmegen63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Fortuna Sittard13%fair 7.58 · @4.40
3.50Expected goals
2.40NEC Nijmegen xG
1.10Fortuna Sittard xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.4 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Draw no bet
NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
NEC Nijmegen to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DDDLLD
15 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ajax
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Juventus
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Cambuur
0–3
L
8 Sep
vs Excelsior
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
DWWLWW
10 Oct
vs Twente
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Genk
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Willem II
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ajax
1–5
L
6 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortuna Sittard 13%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
