Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultTwente to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceTwente or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Excelsior vs Twente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Twente travel to face Excelsior on Sunday 1 November in the Eredivisie, with Stadion Woudestein the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Excelsior are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Twente are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Excelsior, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over MVV, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Twente, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AZ Alkmaar, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Twente, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Excelsior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior 0.9 xG, Twente 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior 14%, draw 20%, Twente 67%.
Lower-risk option: Twente or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Twente to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior 0–2 Twente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior14%fair 7.35 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.20
Twente67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
3.20Expected goals
0.94Excelsior xG
2.26Twente xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Excelsior 0.9 – 2.3 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.50
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Twente -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Twente to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Excelsior – last 6
WLLLDL
28 Oct
@ MVV
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
16 Oct
@ Heerenveen
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Groningen
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Ajax
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Twente – last 6
WWLWDW
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior and Twente.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Twente 67%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Twente?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Twente?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 0–2 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs Twente?
Excelsior vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
