Value bet: Groningen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.56
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Eredivisie brings Groningen against Sparta Rotterdam at Euroborg. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Groningen, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Emmen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortuna Sittard, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 2.8 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 1.5 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 64%, draw 16%, Sparta Rotterdam 20%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Groningen to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @3.90
Sparta Rotterdam20%fair 4.95 · @3.80
4.30Expected goals
2.77Groningen xG
1.53Sparta Rotterdam xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.8 – 1.5 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.44
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Groningen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
First team to score
Groningen to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.56
–
Recent results
Groningen – last 6
LDLWWD
29 Oct
vs Emmen
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Ajax
2–5
L
11 Oct
@ Excelsior
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLWDLL
28 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Ajax
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Willem II
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Heerenveen
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
On our numbers Groningen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sparta Rotterdam 20%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
