On Sunday 8 November the Eredivisie brings Twente against Ajax at De Grolsch Veste. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Twente are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Ajax are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Twente, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pafos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ajax, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over FC Midtjylland, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Twente 2.2 xG, Ajax 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Twente 57%, draw 18%, Ajax 24%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Twente 2–1 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Twente57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.20
Ajax24%fair 4.16 · @3.75
3.57Expected goals
2.21Twente xG
1.37Ajax xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Twente 2.2 – 1.4 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✗
57%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Ajax +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
First team to score
Twente to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Twente – last 6
WWWWLW
5 Nov
vs Pafos
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Excelsior
9–0
W
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 6
WWWWWL
5 Nov
@ FC Midtjylland
6–1
W
31 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Atalanta
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Groningen
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and Ajax.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Twente vs Ajax?
On our numbers Twente have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ajax 24%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Twente 2–1 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Twente vs Ajax?
Twente vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
