AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Groningen travel to face AZ Alkmaar on Sunday 8 November in the Eredivisie, with AFAS Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:45 WAT. In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 12 matches; Groningen are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Groningen, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sparta Rotterdam, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 2.4 xG, Groningen 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 64%, draw 21%, Groningen 15%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.75
Groningen15%fair 6.50 · @6.00
3.62Expected goals
2.44AZ Alkmaar xG
1.18Groningen xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.4 – 1.2 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Groningen 15%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
