Metz welcome Guingamp to Stade Saint-Symphorien for a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Guingamp are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metz, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to 1. FC Kaiserslautern, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 6. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Guingamp, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Stade Brestois 29, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Metz, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Guingamp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.8 xG, Guingamp 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 49%, draw 23%, Guingamp 27%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–1 Guingamp. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz49%fair 2.04 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Guingamp27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
3.05Expected goals
1.82Metz xG
1.23Guingamp xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Metz 1.8 – 1.2 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✓
49%
2.04
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Guingamp +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Metz to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Metz – last 6
LWWWWD
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Versailles
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
DLLLDW
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Rennes
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Laval
1–1
D
10 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Guingamp.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Metz vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Metz have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guingamp 27%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Guingamp?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Guingamp?
Metz vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
