Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Montpellier vs Dijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dijon travel to face Montpellier on Saturday 8 August in the Ligue 2, with Stade de la Mosson the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Montpellier are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Dijon are 6th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Montpellier, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Rodez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Dijon, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nancy, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.8 xG, Dijon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 56%, draw 25%, Dijon 19%.
Lower-risk option: Montpellier or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montpellier or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 1–1 Dijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montpellier56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
Dijon19%fair 5.15 · @4.10
2.87Expected goals
1.82Montpellier xG
1.05Dijon xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.8 – 1.0 Dijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Montpellier or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Dijon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
Montpellier to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Montpellier ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Montpellier – last 6
WWLWWW
1 Aug
vs Rodez
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Cannes
3–4
L
17 Jul
vs Le Puy Foot
5–2
W
11 Jul
vs Aubagne
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Amiens
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dijon – last 6
DWWWWD
1 Aug
@ Nancy
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
22 Jul
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Progres Niederkorn
4–1
W
15 Jul
vs UNFP
5–2
W
11 Jul
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Dijon.
Our pick is Montpellier or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montpellier vs Dijon?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dijon 19%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Dijon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Dijon?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–1 Dijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Dijon?
Montpellier vs Dijon (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
