Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceMetz or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Metz vs Laval: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Laval travel to face Metz on Saturday 22 August in the Ligue 2, with Stade Saint Symphorien the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Laval are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Metz, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grenoble, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Laval, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nantes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.8 xG, Laval 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 61%, draw 22%, Laval 17%.
Lower-risk option: Metz or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Metz to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metz or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–0 Laval. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.45
Laval17%fair 6.03 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.77Metz xG
0.78Laval xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.8 – 0.8 Laval expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Metz or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Metz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Metz to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Metz ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Metz – last 6
DWLWWW
14 Aug
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Laval – last 6
WLDWLW
14 Aug
vs Nantes
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Rodez
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Granville
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Avranches
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Laval.
Our pick is Metz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metz vs Laval?
On our numbers Metz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Laval 17%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Laval?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Laval?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–0 Laval, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Laval?
Metz vs Laval (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
