Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nantes to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceNantes or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Nantes vs Rodez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nantes welcome Rodez to Stade de la Beaujoire for a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday 22 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Nantes are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Rodez are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nantes, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Laval, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rodez, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Annecy, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Rodez, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Nantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nantes 1.9 xG, Rodez 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nantes 63%, draw 24%, Rodez 13%.
Lower-risk option: Nantes or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Nantes to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nantes or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nantes 1–0 Rodez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nantes63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
Rodez13%fair 7.47 · @4.40
2.62Expected goals
1.87Nantes xG
0.75Rodez xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.9 – 0.8 Rodez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Nantes or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Nantes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Nantes to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Nantes ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Nantes – last 6
LLWLDL
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs La Roche VF
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Lorient
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rodez – last 6
LWLDWW
14 Aug
@ Annecy
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Laval
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Montpellier
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Toulouse
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Nimes
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Cannes
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Rodez.
Our pick is Nantes or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nantes vs Rodez?
On our numbers Nantes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rodez 13%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Rodez?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Rodez?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–0 Rodez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Rodez?
Nantes vs Rodez (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
