Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPAU to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
PAU vs Nancy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nancy travel to face PAU on Friday 21 August in the Ligue 2, with Nouste Camp the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Nancy are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
PAU, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dijon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Nancy, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montpellier, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.0 xG, Nancy 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 45%, draw 23%, Nancy 33%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 0–0 Nancy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAU45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Nancy33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
1.73Expected goals
0.97PAU xG
0.75Nancy xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: PAU 1.0 – 0.8 Nancy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Draw no bet
PAU (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Nancy +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.35 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.12
First team to score
PAU to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.79
–
Recent results
PAU – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
21 Jul
@ Espanyol
0–4
L
11 Jul
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nancy – last 6
LDDDDW
14 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Boulogne
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Dijon
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Epinal
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Annecy
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Haguenau
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Nancy.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win PAU vs Nancy?
On our numbers PAU have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nancy 33%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Nancy?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nancy?
Our predicted score is PAU 0–0 Nancy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Nancy?
PAU vs Nancy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
