Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuingamp to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Sochaux vs Guingamp: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Sochaux v Guingamp in the Ligue 2, played at Stade Bonal. In the table, Sochaux are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Guingamp are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sochaux, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with RED Star FC 93, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Guingamp, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boulogne, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sochaux 1.0 xG, Guingamp 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sochaux 36%, draw 23%, Guingamp 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sochaux 1–1 Guingamp. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sochaux36%fair 2.77 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Guingamp41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
2.11Expected goals
1.01Sochaux xG
1.10Guingamp xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.0 – 1.1 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guingamp to win✗
41%
2.43
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Draw no bet
Guingamp (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Sochaux +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
First team to score
Guingamp to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guingamp / FT Guingamp✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.47
–
Recent results
Sochaux – last 6
DLDLLW
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Dijon
0–3
L
22 Jul
@ Metz
1–4
L
18 Jul
vs Grenoble
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
WLDLLL
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Rennes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Guingamp.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sochaux vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guingamp 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Sochaux vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bonal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
