Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rodez to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRodez to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceRodez or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Rodez vs PAU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rodez welcome PAU to Stade Paul-Lignon for a Ligue 2 fixture on Friday 28 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Rodez are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; PAU are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rodez, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Nantes, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
PAU, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nancy, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rodez, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for PAU.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodez 2.0 xG, PAU 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodez 64%, draw 21%, PAU 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rodez or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Rodez to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rodez or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodez 1–0 PAU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodez64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
PAU15%fair 6.82 · @4.10
2.77Expected goals
1.96Rodez xG
0.81PAU xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rodez 2.0 – 0.8 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodez to win✗
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Rodez or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
Rodez (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Rodez -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.15
First team to score
Rodez to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Rodez ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodez / FT Rodez✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Rodez – last 6
WLWLDW
22 Aug
@ Nantes
5–2
W
14 Aug
@ Annecy
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Laval
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Montpellier
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Toulouse
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Nimes
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PAU – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Aug
vs Nancy
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
21 Jul
@ Espanyol
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodez and PAU.
Our pick is Rodez or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rodez vs PAU?
On our numbers Rodez have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PAU 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rodez vs PAU?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Rodez 1–0 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodez vs PAU?
Rodez vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
