Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceMetz or draw ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Metz vs Rodez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Ligue 2 brings Metz against Rodez at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Rodez are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Metz, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Annecy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rodez, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with PAU, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 2.0 xG, Rodez 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 60%, draw 22%, Rodez 18%.
Lower-risk option: Metz or draw (82%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Metz to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metz or draw (82%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 2–0 Rodez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.40
Rodez18%fair 5.61 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
2.00Metz xG
1.00Rodez xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Metz 2.0 – 1.0 Rodez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Metz or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Metz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Metz to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Metz ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Metz – last 6
DDDWLW
29 Aug
@ Annecy
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Laval
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodez – last 6
DWLWLD
28 Aug
vs PAU
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Nantes
5–2
W
14 Aug
@ Annecy
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Laval
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Montpellier
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Toulouse
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Rodez.
Our pick is Metz or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Metz vs Rodez?
On our numbers Metz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rodez 18%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Rodez?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Rodez?
Our predicted score is Metz 2–0 Rodez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Rodez?
Metz vs Rodez (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
