Saint Etienne 62%Draw 20%Montpellier 19%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.78
62%
Betarazi pick
Saint Etienne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Saint Etienne vs Montpellier: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montpellier travel to face Saint Etienne on Saturday 5 September in the Ligue 2, with Stade Geoffroy-Guichard the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Saint Etienne are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 12 matches; Montpellier are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Montpellier, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Boulogne, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Montpellier.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint Etienne 1.7 xG, Montpellier 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint Etienne 62%, draw 20%, Montpellier 19%.
Lower-risk option: Saint Etienne or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint Etienne 1–0 Montpellier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint Etienne62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.80
Montpellier19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.72Saint Etienne xG
0.78Montpellier xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 1.7 – 0.8 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Montpellier +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 6
DWWDWW
28 Aug
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Dunkerque
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Nancy
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Dijon
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Rodez
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Montpellier.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Our pick is Saint Etienne to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Montpellier 19%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 1–0 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Saint Etienne vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
