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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dunkerque v Saint Etienne: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · France · Stade Marcel Tribut
2–1
FT
Dunkerque 15%Draw 24%Saint Etienne 62% Expected goals 1.23 – 2.47
85%
Betarazi pick

Saint Etienne or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dunkerque welcome Saint Etienne to Stade Marcel Tribut for a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday 12 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Dunkerque are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Saint Etienne are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dunkerque, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Clermont Foot, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Montpellier, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Dunkerque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dunkerque 1.2 xG, Saint Etienne 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dunkerque 15%, draw 24%, Saint Etienne 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Saint Etienne or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Saint Etienne to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunkerque 1–2 Saint Etienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dunkerque15%fair 6.81 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.75
Saint Etienne62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
3.70Expected goals
1.23Dunkerque xG
2.47Saint Etienne xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–18%
0–36%
0–16%

From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.2 – 2.5 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSaint Etienne to win ✗62%1.621.73 ▲
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✗85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.65
Draw no betSaint Etienne (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapSaint Etienne -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreSaint Etienne to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultSaint Etienne ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Dunkerque – last 6

DLLDWD
4 Sepvs Clermont Foot1–1D
28 Aug@ Nancy0–2L
21 Augvs Montpellier0–1L
14 Aug@ Reims3–3D
8 Augvs Grenoble4–2W
1 Aug@ KV Mechelen0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Saint Etienne – last 6

WWWWWW
5 Sepvs Montpellier3–1W
31 Aug@ Dijon3–2W
22 Augvs Grenoble4–0W
14 Augvs Clermont Foot3–1W
8 Aug@ Sochaux3–0W
1 Augvs Venezia4–3W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Saint Etienne.

Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Etienne12912+1428
2Nancy12813+825
3Montpellier12732+924
4Reims12561+921
5PAU12624+320
6Dijon12534+218
7Metz12453+117
8RED Star FC 9312525-317
9Annecy12516-416
10Dunkerque12435015
11Guingamp12426-214
12Boulogne12273+213
13Rodez12417-613
14Nantes12336-412
15Clermont Foot12183-411
16Sochaux12255-711
17Grenoble12327-911
18Laval12237-99

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

On our numbers Dunkerque have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Saint Etienne 62%.

How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–2 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Tribut.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.