Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Sochaux vs Nantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Sochaux v Nantes in the Ligue 2, played at Stade Auguste Bonal. In the table, Sochaux are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Nantes are 14th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sochaux, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with PAU, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nantes, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nancy, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sochaux 1.1 xG, Nantes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sochaux 34%, draw 23%, Nantes 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Sochaux to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sochaux 1–1 Nantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sochaux34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
Nantes43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
2.40Expected goals
1.11Sochaux xG
1.29Nantes xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.1 – 1.3 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Sochaux +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Nantes to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Sochaux – last 6
DDWDLD
4 Sep
@ PAU
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
WDLLLW
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Nantes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sochaux vs Nantes?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nantes 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Nantes?
Sochaux vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
