Value bet: Boulogne to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Boulogne vs Nantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nantes travel to face Boulogne on Saturday 19 September in the Ligue 2, with Stade de la Libération the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Boulogne are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Nantes are 14th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boulogne, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Clermont Foot, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nantes, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sochaux, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boulogne 1.0 xG, Nantes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boulogne 35%, draw 24%, Nantes 40%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Boulogne to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boulogne 0–1 Nantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boulogne35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Nantes40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
2.00Expected goals
0.95Boulogne xG
1.05Nantes xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Boulogne 1.0 – 1.0 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Boulogne +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Nantes to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.05
–
Recent results
Boulogne – last 6
DDDDLD
11 Sep
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Dijon
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Montpellier
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Nancy
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LWDLLL
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boulogne and Nantes.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Boulogne vs Nantes?
On our numbers Boulogne have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nantes 40%.
How many goals will there be in Boulogne vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boulogne vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Boulogne 0–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Boulogne vs Nantes?
Boulogne vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Libération.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
