Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Metz vs Saint Etienne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Ligue 2 brings Metz against Saint Etienne at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Saint Etienne are 1st (leading the league) with 28.
Current form
Metz, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to RED Star FC 93, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Saint Etienne, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dunkerque, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Metz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.3 xG, Saint Etienne 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 32%, draw 22%, Saint Etienne 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Metz to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–1 Saint Etienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Saint Etienne46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
3.00Expected goals
1.33Metz xG
1.67Saint Etienne xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.3 – 1.7 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Metz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Metz – last 6
LWDDDW
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Rodez
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Annecy
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Laval
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Saint Etienne.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Metz vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Metz have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saint Etienne 46%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Saint Etienne?
Metz vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
