Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Montpellier vs Grenoble: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Ligue 2 brings Montpellier against Grenoble at Stade de la Mosson. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Montpellier are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Grenoble are 17th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Montpellier, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Reims, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Grenoble, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Grenoble.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.5 xG, Grenoble 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 61%, draw 21%, Grenoble 18%.
Lower-risk option: Montpellier or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montpellier to win (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 1–0 Grenoble. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montpellier61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Grenoble18%fair 5.54 · @5.00
2.14Expected goals
1.50Montpellier xG
0.64Grenoble xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.5 – 0.6 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our pick is Montpellier to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Montpellier vs Grenoble?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grenoble 18%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Montpellier vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
