Value bet: Guingamp to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNancy to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Nancy vs Guingamp: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guingamp travel to face Nancy on Friday 9 October in the Ligue 2, with Stade Marcel-Picot the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Nancy are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Guingamp are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Nancy, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Saarbrücken, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Guingamp, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to RED Star FC 93, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nancy 1.5 xG, Guingamp 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nancy 45%, draw 22%, Guingamp 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Guingamp to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nancy 1–1 Guingamp. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nancy45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Guingamp33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.46Nancy xG
1.18Guingamp xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nancy 1.5 – 1.2 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nancy to win✓
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Nancy (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Guingamp +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Nancy to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nancy / FT Nancy✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Nancy – last 6
LWLLWW
2 Oct
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Rodez
4–3
W
11 Sep
vs Reims
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Nantes
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ PAU
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
LWDDLW
19 Sep
vs RED Star FC 93
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Annecy
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Reims
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Nantes
3–3
D
21 Aug
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nancy and Guingamp.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nancy vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Nancy have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guingamp 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nancy vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Nancy 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nancy vs Guingamp?
Nancy vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Picot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
