Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Dunkerque vs Metz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Ligue 2 brings Dunkerque against Metz at Stade Marcel Tribut. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Dunkerque are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Metz are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dunkerque, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nantes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Metz, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sochaux, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunkerque 1.5 xG, Metz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunkerque 37%, draw 22%, Metz 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunkerque37%fair 2.74 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Metz41%fair 2.44 · @2.38
3.11Expected goals
1.50Dunkerque xG
1.61Metz xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.5 – 1.6 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
41%
2.44
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Dunkerque +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Metz to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Dunkerque – last 6
WLLWDL
17 Oct
@ Nantes
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Annecy
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ PAU
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Nancy
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
WLDLWD
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Rodez
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Annecy
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Metz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
On our numbers Dunkerque have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Metz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dunkerque vs Metz?
Dunkerque vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Tribut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
