PAU v Grenoble Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPAU to win ✓63% · @1.83

Double chancePAU or draw ✓85% · @1.20

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35

PAU vs Grenoble: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: PAU v Grenoble in the Ligue 2, played at Nouste Camp. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Grenoble are 17th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

PAU, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guingamp, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Grenoble, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Boulogne, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours PAU, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Grenoble.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.7 xG, Grenoble 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 63%, draw 22%, Grenoble 15%.
Lower-risk option: PAU or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: PAU to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was PAU or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 1–0 Grenoble. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PAU63%fair 1.58 · @1.83

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30

Grenoble15%fair 6.76 · @4.20

2.39Expected goals

1.72PAU xG

0.67Grenoble xG

47%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–014%

1–111%

0–09%

2–19%

3–08%

From our goals model: PAU 1.7 – 0.7 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	PAU to win ✓	63%	1.58	1.83 ▲
Double chance	PAU or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.20
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.85
Draw no bet	PAU (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	PAU -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	PAU to score first ✗	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	PAU ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT PAU / FT PAU ✗	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.35	–

PAU – last 6

WWWLDD

16 Oct	@ Guingamp	2–1	W
9 Oct	vs Laval	3–2	W
18 Sep	vs Dunkerque	2–0	W
11 Sep	@ Montpellier	0–1	L
4 Sep	vs Sochaux	1–1	D
28 Aug	@ Rodez	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Grenoble – last 6

LLDDWL

16 Oct	vs Boulogne	0–2	L
9 Oct	@ Montpellier	0–2	L
2 Oct	vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0–0	D
18 Sep	vs Clermont Foot	1–1	D
11 Sep	@ Rodez	1–0	W
4 Sep	vs Annecy	1–2	L

0.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	12	9	1	2	+14	28
2	Nancy	12	8	1	3	+8	25
3	Montpellier	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Reims	12	5	6	1	+9	21
5	PAU	12	6	2	4	+3	20
6	Dijon	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Metz	12	4	5	3	+1	17
8	RED Star FC 93	12	5	2	5	-3	17
9	Annecy	12	5	1	6	-4	16
10	Dunkerque	12	4	3	5	0	15
11	Guingamp	12	4	2	6	-2	14
12	Boulogne	12	2	7	3	+2	13
13	Rodez	12	4	1	7	-6	13
14	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	Clermont Foot	12	1	8	3	-4	11
16	Sochaux	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Grenoble	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Laval	12	2	3	7	-9	9

Team

Pts

+14

-3

-4

-2

-6

-4

-4

-7

-9

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAU vs Grenoble?

Our pick is PAU or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?

On our numbers PAU have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grenoble 15%.

How many goals will there be in PAU vs Grenoble?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PAU vs Grenoble?

Our predicted score is PAU 1–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is PAU vs Grenoble?

PAU vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

PAU v Grenoble: numbers & prediction

PAU