Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Montpellier vs Metz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 6 November: Montpellier v Metz in the Ligue 2, played at Stade de la Mosson. In the table, Montpellier are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Metz are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Montpellier, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Annecy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Metz, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to PAU, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Metz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.8 xG, Metz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 57%, draw 25%, Metz 18%.
Lower-risk option: Montpellier or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montpellier or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 1–0 Metz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montpellier57%fair 1.77 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Metz18%fair 5.54 · @3.90
2.74Expected goals
1.81Montpellier xG
0.94Metz xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.8 – 0.9 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Double chance
Montpellier or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Metz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Montpellier ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Montpellier – last 6
WWWWDW
31 Oct
@ Annecy
3–0
W
26 Oct
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Rodez
3–0
W
9 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Reims
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs PAU
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
LDWLDL
30 Oct
vs PAU
1–3
L
23 Oct
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Metz.
Our pick is Montpellier or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Metz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Metz?
Montpellier vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
