Value bet: PAU to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
PAU vs Nantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nantes travel to face PAU on Friday 6 November in the Ligue 2, with Nouste Camp the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Nantes are 14th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
PAU, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Metz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Nantes, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Clermont Foot, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours PAU, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.3 xG, Nantes 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 37%, draw 23%, Nantes 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: PAU to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 1–1 Nantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAU37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Nantes40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.31PAU xG
1.35Nantes xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: PAU 1.3 – 1.4 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
PAU +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Nantes to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
PAU – last 6
WWWWWL
30 Oct
@ Metz
3–1
W
23 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Guingamp
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Laval
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
DLLDWL
30 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Saint Etienne
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Dunkerque
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Reims
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Boulogne
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
On our numbers PAU have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nantes 40%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Nantes?
PAU vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
