Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✗70% · @1.44
Double chanceLens or draw ✗90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53
Lens vs Lorient: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lorient travel to face Lens on Saturday 5 September in the Ligue 1, with Stade Bollaert-Delelis the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lens, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Strasbourg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Lorient, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Estac Troyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Lorient.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 2.3 xG, Lorient 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 70%, draw 20%, Lorient 10%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 2–0 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens70%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.35
Lorient10%fair 9.97 · @6.80
3.14Expected goals
2.33Lens xG
0.80Lorient xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lens 2.3 – 0.8 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✗
70%
1.42
1.44
Double chance
Lens or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Lens (draw no bet)✗
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Lens -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Lens to score first✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.53
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
LWWLWD
29 Aug
@ Strasbourg
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Auxerre
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Villarreal
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Charleroi
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 6
LDLLWW
29 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
4 Aug
vs UNFP
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Guingamp
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Lorient.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Lorient?
On our numbers Lens have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lorient 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Lorient?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Lorient?
Lens vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
