Nice 59%Draw 21%Le Mans 20%Expected goals 1.95 – 1.05
80%
Betarazi pick
Nice or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nice to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNice to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceNice or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Nice vs Le Mans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Ligue 1 brings Nice against Le Mans at Allianz Riviera. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Le Mans are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Nice, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Paris FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Le Mans, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rennes, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 2.0 xG, Le Mans 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 59%, draw 21%, Le Mans 20%.
Lower-risk option: Nice or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Nice to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nice or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Le Mans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Le Mans20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
1.95Nice xG
1.05Le Mans xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nice 2.0 – 1.0 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Nice or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Nice (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Le Mans +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Nice to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Nice ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Nice – last 6
LDDDLW
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Juventus
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Nimes
4–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
LDLDWW
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Le Mans.
Our pick is Nice or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nice vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Nice have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Le Mans 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Le Mans?
Nice vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
