Le Mans 12%Draw 22%Lens 65%Expected goals 1.13 – 2.54
65%
Betarazi pick
Lens to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceLens or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Le Mans vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Ligue 1 brings Le Mans against Lens at MMArena. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Le Mans are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Lens are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Le Mans, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lens, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Slavia Praha, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Le Mans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Mans 1.1 xG, Lens 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Mans 12%, draw 22%, Lens 65%.
Lower-risk option: Lens or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lens to win (65%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Mans 1–2 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Mans12%fair 8.09 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.90
Lens65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
3.67Expected goals
1.13Le Mans xG
2.54Lens xG
60%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.1 – 2.5 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✗
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Lens or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Lens (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Lens -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Lens to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
DLDLDW
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lens – last 6
WLLWWL
10 Sep
@ Slavia Praha
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Lorient
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Strasbourg
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Auxerre
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Lens.
Our pick is Lens to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Le Mans vs Lens?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lens 65%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Lens?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–2 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Lens?
Le Mans vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at MMArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
