Le Mans 35%Draw 23%Lorient 42%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.52
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLorient to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Le Mans vs Lorient: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Ligue 1 brings Le Mans against Lorient at MMArena. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Le Mans are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Le Mans, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lens, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lorient, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Toulouse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Mans 1.4 xG, Lorient 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Mans 35%, draw 23%, Lorient 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Mans 1–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Mans35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Lorient42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.36Le Mans xG
1.52Lorient xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.4 – 1.5 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✗
42%
2.36
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Lorient (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Le Mans +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Lorient to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
DDLDLD
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 6
DWLDLL
12 Sep
vs Toulouse
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Lens
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Lorient.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Le Mans vs Lorient?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lorient 42%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Lorient?
Le Mans vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MMArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
