Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultToulouse to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceToulouse or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Toulouse vs Le Havre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Toulouse v Le Havre in the Ligue 1, played at Stadium Municipal. In the table, Toulouse are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Le Havre are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Toulouse, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lorient, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Le Havre, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Angers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toulouse 1.5 xG, Le Havre 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toulouse 60%, draw 23%, Le Havre 17%.
Lower-risk option: Toulouse or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toulouse or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulouse 1–0 Le Havre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toulouse60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.70
Le Havre17%fair 5.96 · @4.33
2.13Expected goals
1.50Toulouse xG
0.63Le Havre xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Toulouse 1.5 – 0.6 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toulouse or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Le Havre 17%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–0 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Le Havre?
Toulouse vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
