16:15 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Nice v Lille in the Ligue 1, played at Allianz Riviera. In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Lille are 2nd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Nice, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auxerre, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lille, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estac Troyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lille, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Nice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 0.7 xG, Lille 1.2 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 27%, draw 22%, Lille 50%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Lille. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice27%fair 3.68 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Lille50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
1.88Expected goals
0.72Nice xG
1.16Lille xG
53%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nice 0.7 – 1.2 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Nice +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Lille to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.54
–
Recent results
Nice – last 6
LDLDDD
12 Sep
@ Auxerre
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Le Mans
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
WLWDWD
13 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
3 Sep
@ Toulouse
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Angers
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Everton
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Lille.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nice vs Lille?
On our numbers Nice have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lille 50%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Lille?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Lille?
Nice vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
