Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.43
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Ligue 1 brings Marseille against Paris Saint Germain at Orange Vélodrome. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Marseille are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Marseille, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Beşiktaş, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stade Brestois 29, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Marseille.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marseille 0.8 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marseille 13%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 71%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paris Saint Germain to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marseille13%fair 7.99 · @7.00
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @4.80
Paris Saint Germain71%fair 1.42 · @1.36
3.00Expected goals
0.79Marseille xG
2.21Paris Saint Germain xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Marseille 0.8 – 2.2 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Paris Saint Germain -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Marseille – last 6
LLLLWL
17 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Rennes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Paris FC
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Monaco
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Strasbourg
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWLDDL
13 Sep
@ Stade Brestois 29
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Slovan Bratislava
6–1
W
4 Sep
vs Monaco
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ Lille
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Rennes
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Lens
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Marseille have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Paris Saint Germain 71%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Orange Vélodrome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
